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Ripple Effect

Gratitude for Google, Then…

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

November 26, 2025 • 1 minute, 17 second read


Google

Gratitude for Google, Then…

When it’s your turn at the table, remember to add Google to your list of things to be thankful for.

Google stock has doubled off April lows, adding over $2 trillion of value  – and 20% of the S&P 500’s total returns this year.

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Google’s rally this year is responsible for nearly 20% of the S&P’s returns. (Source: econovis.net)

It’s been a year. In July, Google avoided an antitrust breakup. Buffett’s successor at Berkshire Hathaway, Greg Abel, added the search ecosystem to its portfolio in Q3.

Last week, Google unveiled AI chip lines that are competitive with Nvidia.

All good for your 401(k), even if the historic level of market concentration in Mag 7 stocks got more pronounced.

So, gratitude for Google first. But take it with a dash of caution. The market giveth. And the market takes away.

Take some profits off the table… you’ll thank us later.

~ Addison

P.S. While this is a holiday-shortened week, we’ve arranged for a unique video presentation of Tim Sykes’ novel trading strategy on Thanksgiving Thursday.

Tim is one of the top traders in the game today – and he’s sharing details on a strategy he uses to find stocks on Fridays that will likely pop on the Monday open after a restful weekend.

Tim’s innovative strategy will be worth your consideration:

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If you have requests for new guests you’d like to see join us for Grey Swan Live!,  or have any questions for our guests, send them here.


Grey Swan #1: The Age of Intelligence: Rise of the Network State

January 2, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The Grey Swan is not the invention of artificial intelligence. It is the moment the public understands that incentives have changed.

Network economics reward different behaviors than factory economics. Platform states operate by different rules than welfare states. Coordination outruns legislation. Culture lags technology. Conflict follows the gap.

In Financial Reckoning Day, we described how systems adapt when fiscal choices narrow. The Age of Intelligence represents that adaptation in software and silicon.

By the end of 2026, most people will recognize that machines now think alongside humans in logistics, finance, and planning. Some jobs disappear. Others appear. Output improves faster than consensus expects. Politics argues. Markets enforce discipline.

Grey Swan #1: The Age of Intelligence: Rise of the Network State
Grey Swan #2: The Crack-Up Boom Reaches Terminal Velocity

January 1, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The crack-up boom does not signal immediate collapse. Monetary policy gets a new master… inflation rages… and investors chase stocks as a means of keeping pace with their savings.

Markets may even finish 2026 higher than they begin. Many investors will still lose purchasing power along the way. Terminal velocity will feel like momentum… until reality hits.

In 2026, expect breathtaking advances, with the AI narrative remaining dominant, and sudden reversals to occur quickly. Expect liquidity to remain plentiful and erode discipline even more.

Grey Swan #2: The Crack-Up Boom Reaches Terminal Velocity
Grey Swan #3: The Midterms Deliver a Socialist Majority in the House

December 31, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

If the socialist agenda lands, the reaction matters as much as the results of the initial vote.

A hostile House gridlocks legislation. Investigations proliferate. Impeachment chatter returns. Executive authority stretches to compensate.

The political goal of the reactionary strategist will be to muck up the Trump realignment as much as possible to regain power in the House, the Senate (eventually), fortify the courts and ultimately take back the Oval Office. 

Trump will not face a midterm defeat like past lame-duck presidents. We’ll see a host of creative efforts to assert executive authority and override the people’s House. The checks and balances bestowed by Montesquieu at the very root of the Republic will be tested as never before.

Grey Swan #3: The Midterms Deliver a Socialist Majority in the House
Grey Swan #4: America’s Covert Resource War in South America

December 30, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

If the U.S. can no longer afford to police the world, it will prioritize what sits closest to home. Oil, lithium, copper, rare earths, food, and shipping lanes in the Western Hemisphere matter more to America’s economic resilience than abstract security guarantees signed eight decades ago.

The Financial Times captured this shift late in 2025, noting that U.S. foreign policy is “increasingly transactional, geographically compressed, and resource-oriented.” Bloomberg went further, describing a “hemispheric retrenchment” underway beneath the noise of global diplomacy.

We have observed passively that empires of the past, burdened by debt, stop expanding ideologically and start contracting strategically. If nothing else, this is a guide that helps decipher Trump’s comedic efforts at the podium on the second-term victory tour he’s on.

Grey Swan #4: America’s Covert Resource War in South America