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Ripple Effect

Corporate America Adds Fuel to the Stock Market Flame

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

May 12, 2025 • 1 minute, 4 second read


Corporate America Adds Fuel to the Stock Market Flame

With trade deals lighting a fire under the stock market, corporate America is also bringing out some more fuel for the flames.

Corporate buybacks are on the rise – to all-time highs. In the past three months alone, companies have announced hundreds of billions of dollars in commitments to buy their own shares.

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Companies have plenty of options for what they do with their cash. By engaging in share buybacks, they’re effectively saying their own shares are the best game in town.

In reality, that’s rarely the case. A wise company would only buy back shares when they’re an extreme value.

As Andrew notes:

Today, share buybacks usually do two things. They increase earnings per share by reducing the total number of shares – not increasing earnings. And they usually help to offset the shares granted to executives. Neither of those is real growth in the underlying business.

Given this shell game, it’s clear that most companies buying back shares are signaling that they don’t know how to employ their cash better.

Can investors get good returns with companies buying back shares? Absolutely. But if it’s hollowing out the balance sheet, it’s creating riskier conditions as share prices rise higher.

Until that crisis hits, traders see buybacks as bullish.

-Addison


Jesse Colombo: Did Gold and Silver Just Peak?

October 10, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Just a couple of days ago, everyone was celebrating gold’s move above the critical $4,000 psychological resistance level. But with today’s pullback, it slipped back below that level in both COMEX futures and spot, which makes me pause and think, as it indicates a rejection of that key level.

This increases the likelihood of a modest pullback or a period of sideways consolidation, as gold may have temporarily run out of momentum to push higher in the short term. That is perfectly normal, healthy, and not at all surprising. It is much like a sprinter who has just run hard and needs a moment to catch their breath.

Jesse Colombo: Did Gold and Silver Just Peak?
A Brief Schelling Point for Global Markets

October 10, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Gold. Stocks. Bitcoin. Prediction markets. Each a different surface on the same wave — money searching for a story it can still believe in.

The Schelling Point of this moment isn’t one price or policy; it’s the shared intuition that something historic is shifting… even though we haven’t named it.

It’s Friday. It’s a good time to “remobilize our axioms,” as my favorite William F. Buckley quote goes.

We need to stick to our guns and remember that the goal of understanding Grey Swan events as they unfold is to plan, preserve our capital, and earn a good return for the long run. Let’s not get distracted by the market highs or headlines of a terrifying bull!

A Brief Schelling Point for Global Markets
What Goes Up…

October 10, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Only during the ‘08 financial crisis and its aftermath have the majority of money managers seen stocks as undervalued.

This data point is another in a list of historic highs – stock indexes, gold, silver, bitcoin, retail investment, retail margin borrowing – we’re seeing in the market right now.

Markets are out of whack to the upside.

History’s cautionary tale? When markets are out of whack… it takes an unsettling event (crisis) to get them back into whack.

What Goes Up…
George Gilder: Led by Coherent, The Data Center is Turning to the Light

October 9, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

As AI clusters demand more light at every layer — from rack to package — Coherent’s share of that energy pathway increases. The startups illustrate what’s possible; Coherent ensures it happens.

As light enters the data center — step by step, layer by layer — Coherent is the most experienced and scaled name in the field. It carries the light forward.

George Gilder: Led by Coherent, The Data Center is Turning to the Light