GSI Banner
  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • My Account
  • Sign In
  • Join Now

  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • Contact

© 2026 Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

  • Cookie Policy
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information
  • Whitelist Us
Ripple Effect

Breaking China’s Grip on Rare Earths

Andrew PackerAndrew Packer

May 7, 2026 • 1 minute, 28 second read


ChinaPresident Trumprare earthsXi Jinping

Breaking China’s Grip on Rare Earths

President Donald Trump is set to have his delayed summit meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping next week.

The world is in a different place than the last time the two leaders met.

The removal of Nicolas Maduro of Venezuela has blocked the sale of sanctioned oil to China. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has led to a similar move.

President Trump is reworking the global order. China still holds some powerful cards, however, including its global dominance of rare earth elements, both in terms of reserves and production:

Rare earth elements are critical components for today’s tech buildout, but are largely dominated by China’s holdings and production.  (Source: CCBY)

While China has raised prices on these goods at times, it continues to keep prices low enough to discourage the production of rare earth elements in other countries.

That means despite being America’s top adversary in the 21st century, the metals needed to make smart missiles, drones and other defense tech work are still largely controlled by China. 

But much like how the global oil market’s movements have shifted, so too is the rare earth space, albeit at a smaller scale.

We continue to like the commodity space and see plenty of reasons for this sector to take off, possibly as semiconductor stocks take a breather. To get our top play for breaking China’s grip on rare earth element production, see Grey Swan Pro. (See: Shadow Stocks.) 

~ Andrew

P.S. This week, Addison is visiting family out in Maine, and I’m at the Consensus Conference in Miami, learning about all things crypto – ideal timing with the Clarity Act moving forward. 

So no Grey Swan Live! But we’ll be back to our regular schedule next week.


One Sign that Government Spending Is At a Crisis Point

August 7, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Debts and deficits will eventually cause a crisis. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s effort to help bail out the Japanese Yen this week is entirely motivated by self-preservation. The contagion signal flashing in Japanese bonds since late ‘25 is infecting the BOJ, which may be forced to sell U.S. Treasurys to stabilize its own currency.

One Sign that Government Spending Is At a Crisis Point
“Doc” Copper Tests Positive for Testosterone

August 6, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The copper price is no doubt benefiting from inflation driven by money printing. But the doc don’t lie. Copper’s new all-time highs, while gold and silver still languish, are a sign the AI growth story is also that of the global economy itself.

“Doc” Copper Tests Positive for Testosterone
Gold Mining Stocks Still Big Winners Amid the Price Pause

August 5, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Many miners were profitable with gold around $2,000 and silver near $50. At sustained prices closer to $4,000 gold and $60 silver, the arithmetic changes dramatically.

Gold Mining Stocks Still Big Winners Amid the Price Pause
The “Yentervention” Kicks US Markets Into High Gear

August 4, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The stock market is getting an unexpected boost to kick off August, bucking the historically weak summer session for the U.S. stock market.

What’s happening? The Bank of Japan and the U.S. Treasury are making a coordinated effort to support Japanese yen; a move last attempted nearly 30 years in the height of the Asian Financial contagion (1998).

The “Yentervention” Kicks US Markets Into High Gear