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Beneath the Surface

Are We In a Bubble?

Loading ...Tim Sykes

November 25, 2025 • 4 minute, 51 second read


AI bubble

Are We In a Bubble?

“Stock market bubbles don’t grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality are distorted by a misconception.”

— George Soros

November 25, 2025 — CNBC analysts are debating it.

Twitter threads are dissecting it.

Portfolio managers are losing sleep over it.

One question is dominating financial news right now:

“Are we in a bubble?”

The recent price action is adding fuel to the story:

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  • Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) down 35% from its highs…
  • Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD) down 33%…
  • Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) down 46%…
  • Palantir (NASDAQ: PLTR) down 25%…
  • Bitcoin (BTC) down 30%…

The talking heads are calling it:

The AI bubble is bursting.

Growth stocks are crashing.

The party’s over.

So what’s my answer?

Are we REALLY in a bubble?

I Don’t Care If We’re In A Bubble

Truthfully…I don’t care if we’re in a bubble.

While long-term investors watch their portfolios bleed, I’m doing just fine.

My trading style doesn’t rely on the direction of the major indexes.

A major market crash would actually be good for my strategy.

When the big names tank, volatility explodes.

Short sellers pile in. Fear spreads like a virus.

Which creates the EXACT conditions where small caps can go parabolic.

When blue-chip growth stocks tank, traditional traders and investors lose billions.

But for a small-cap trader looking for explosive intraday moves?

It doesn’t matter at all.

I only care about stocks that can spike 100%, 200%, or even 300% in a single session.

The types of moves these mega-caps can’t even dream of…

Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: OLMA)

OLMA exploded 197% in premarket trading on November 18.

From around $6 to over $17 in a few hours.

The catalyst? Competitor Roche announced positive Phase III trial results for a rival breast cancer drug.

The market interpreted the news as validation for the entire drug class.

OLMA went vertical.

Press release + Strong chart = The conditions for a parabolic move.

(A move you would NEVER find in mega-cap tech stocks…)

Cypherpunk Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: CYPH)

CYPH rebranded from a biotech to a digital asset treasury company on November 13.

From around $1.50 in mid-August to over $9 by mid-November.

A 500%+ move in three months.

Low float. High short interest. A crypto pivot during volatile market conditions.

While everyone panicked about Bitcoin dropping 30%, CYPH was actually the best crypto play in the market.

Safe & Green Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: SGBX)

From under $2 on November 13 to over $7 by November 20.

A 250%+ spike in one week.

The company pivoted from modular home construction to an integrated energy strategy.

It regained Nasdaq compliance. Management took compensation in stock. Retail traders piled in on the low float.

While Robinhood dropped 33% from its highs and Coinbase fell 46%…
SGBX tripled.*

What Most Traders Are Missing

The people worrying about the AI bubble are stuck in an outdated mindset.

Buy blue chips. Hold for years. Hope the indexes go up.

That strategy requires everything to cooperate.

And it takes forever to make meaningful gains.

Compare that to trading small-caps.

When the market tanks, short sellers flood into small-caps. Low-float stocks get hammered down.

Then one catalyst can trigger a face-ripping squeeze.

  • OLMA up 197% in premarket.
  • CYPH up 500%+ in three months.
  • SGBX up 250%+ in one week.

These types of moves ONLY happen in the small-cap niche.

You just have to know where to look.

A Crash Would Be A Good Thing

Let the big names keep falling…

A real market crash would be perfect for my patterns.

More volatility. More short sellers. More panic.

More opportunities for low-float runners to squeeze hundreds of percent higher.

While long-term investors watch their accounts shrink, I’ll be finding setups, cutting losses quickly, and taking quick gains.

That’s the advantage of trading small-caps and micro-caps.

You’re trading individual setups that have nothing to do with the “bubble.”

What Really Matters

The next time someone tells you the sky is falling because Coinbase dropped 46% or Robinhood fell 33%:

  • Ask them if they caught OLMA spiking 197% in a morning…
  • Or if they rode CYPH from $1.50 to $9…
  • Or if they saw SGBX explode from $2 to $7 in one week…

Spoiler Alert: They didn’t.

They were too busy staring at the big names. Too focused on the indexes. Too distracted by the bubble narrative Wall Street wants them to follow.

All while the BEST opportunities live in the stocks that Wall Street completely ignores.

Cheers,

Tim
Timothyskyes.com & Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

P.S. from Addison: We’re of the view that markets are in a bubble – driven in part by the Magnificent 7 stocks and all things AI. And that is worth caring about, given how the concentration of AI stocks is driving the overall stock market – along with your 401(k) plan – higher.

That makes Tim’s view on the opportunities in smaller-cap stocks an ideal place to potentially ride out a market storm.

Tim is also absolutely right that market selloffs provide better opportunities. While we see a bubble concentrated around AI names, more defensive-oriented sectors and areas of different growth look attractive here.

While this is a holiday-shortened trading week, we’ve arranged for a unique presentation with Tim Sykes on Thursday @ 2pm EST/11am PST during Grey Swan Live! Mr. Sykes will unveil a novel trading strategy we believe you may be interested in.

Tim Sykes is one of the top traders in the game today. We’ve been working with him in one capacity or another for over a decade.

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Spoiler alert: Tim uses a proprietary indicator to identify stocks on Fridays that are poised to spike higher when markets reopen after a given weekend. As you’ll see, Tim’s unique strategy is well-suited for consideration during the holiday season.

If you have requests for new guests you’d like to see join us for Grey Swan Live!,  or have any questions for our guests, send them here.


Grey Swan #2: The Crack-Up Boom Reaches Terminal Velocity

January 1, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The crack-up boom does not signal immediate collapse. Monetary policy gets a new master… inflation rages… and investors chase stocks as a means of keeping pace with their savings.

Markets may even finish 2026 higher than they begin. Many investors will still lose purchasing power along the way. Terminal velocity will feel like momentum… until reality hits.

In 2026, expect breathtaking advances, with the AI narrative remaining dominant, and sudden reversals to occur quickly. Expect liquidity to remain plentiful and erode discipline even more.

Grey Swan #2: The Crack-Up Boom Reaches Terminal Velocity
Grey Swan #3: The Midterms Deliver a Socialist Majority in the House

December 31, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

If the socialist agenda lands, the reaction matters as much as the results of the initial vote.

A hostile House gridlocks legislation. Investigations proliferate. Impeachment chatter returns. Executive authority stretches to compensate.

The political goal of the reactionary strategist will be to muck up the Trump realignment as much as possible to regain power in the House, the Senate (eventually), fortify the courts and ultimately take back the Oval Office. 

Trump will not face a midterm defeat like past lame-duck presidents. We’ll see a host of creative efforts to assert executive authority and override the people’s House. The checks and balances bestowed by Montesquieu at the very root of the Republic will be tested as never before.

Grey Swan #3: The Midterms Deliver a Socialist Majority in the House
Grey Swan #4: America’s Covert Resource War in South America

December 30, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

If the U.S. can no longer afford to police the world, it will prioritize what sits closest to home. Oil, lithium, copper, rare earths, food, and shipping lanes in the Western Hemisphere matter more to America’s economic resilience than abstract security guarantees signed eight decades ago.

The Financial Times captured this shift late in 2025, noting that U.S. foreign policy is “increasingly transactional, geographically compressed, and resource-oriented.” Bloomberg went further, describing a “hemispheric retrenchment” underway beneath the noise of global diplomacy.

We have observed passively that empires of the past, burdened by debt, stop expanding ideologically and start contracting strategically. If nothing else, this is a guide that helps decipher Trump’s comedic efforts at the podium on the second-term victory tour he’s on.

Grey Swan #4: America’s Covert Resource War in South America
Grey Swan #5: The European Union Fractures Under the Weight of War, Debt, and Bureaucracy

December 29, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

By 2026, all four supports will demonstrate that they’ve weakened simultaneously. As true as it may or may not be, it’s not likely to be understood, let alone covered by old-school national media.

Debt narrows choices. War hardens politics. False bureaucratic authority substitutes for something, trust, maybe. Nationalists will be more than willing to fill the vacuum.

Europe’s fracture will feel gradual. Policy coherence will erode further. Markets will adapt and look to the Middle and/or Far East to finance the Ponzi finance on display in New York and London.

Grey Swan #5: The European Union Fractures Under the Weight of War, Debt, and Bureaucracy