GSI Banner
  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • My Account
  • Sign In
  • Join Now

  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • Contact

© 2026 Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

  • Cookie Policy
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information
  • Whitelist Us
Beneath the Surface

Are We In a Bubble?

Loading ...Tim Sykes

November 25, 2025 • 4 minute, 51 second read


AI bubble

Are We In a Bubble?

“Stock market bubbles don’t grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality are distorted by a misconception.”

— George Soros

November 25, 2025 — CNBC analysts are debating it.

Twitter threads are dissecting it.

Portfolio managers are losing sleep over it.

One question is dominating financial news right now:

“Are we in a bubble?”

The recent price action is adding fuel to the story:

Turn Your Images On

  • Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) down 35% from its highs…
  • Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD) down 33%…
  • Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) down 46%…
  • Palantir (NASDAQ: PLTR) down 25%…
  • Bitcoin (BTC) down 30%…

The talking heads are calling it:

The AI bubble is bursting.

Growth stocks are crashing.

The party’s over.

So what’s my answer?

Are we REALLY in a bubble?

I Don’t Care If We’re In A Bubble

Truthfully…I don’t care if we’re in a bubble.

While long-term investors watch their portfolios bleed, I’m doing just fine.

My trading style doesn’t rely on the direction of the major indexes.

A major market crash would actually be good for my strategy.

When the big names tank, volatility explodes.

Short sellers pile in. Fear spreads like a virus.

Which creates the EXACT conditions where small caps can go parabolic.

When blue-chip growth stocks tank, traditional traders and investors lose billions.

But for a small-cap trader looking for explosive intraday moves?

It doesn’t matter at all.

I only care about stocks that can spike 100%, 200%, or even 300% in a single session.

The types of moves these mega-caps can’t even dream of…

Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: OLMA)

OLMA exploded 197% in premarket trading on November 18.

From around $6 to over $17 in a few hours.

The catalyst? Competitor Roche announced positive Phase III trial results for a rival breast cancer drug.

The market interpreted the news as validation for the entire drug class.

OLMA went vertical.

Press release + Strong chart = The conditions for a parabolic move.

(A move you would NEVER find in mega-cap tech stocks…)

Cypherpunk Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: CYPH)

CYPH rebranded from a biotech to a digital asset treasury company on November 13.

From around $1.50 in mid-August to over $9 by mid-November.

A 500%+ move in three months.

Low float. High short interest. A crypto pivot during volatile market conditions.

While everyone panicked about Bitcoin dropping 30%, CYPH was actually the best crypto play in the market.

Safe & Green Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: SGBX)

From under $2 on November 13 to over $7 by November 20.

A 250%+ spike in one week.

The company pivoted from modular home construction to an integrated energy strategy.

It regained Nasdaq compliance. Management took compensation in stock. Retail traders piled in on the low float.

While Robinhood dropped 33% from its highs and Coinbase fell 46%…
SGBX tripled.*

What Most Traders Are Missing

The people worrying about the AI bubble are stuck in an outdated mindset.

Buy blue chips. Hold for years. Hope the indexes go up.

That strategy requires everything to cooperate.

And it takes forever to make meaningful gains.

Compare that to trading small-caps.

When the market tanks, short sellers flood into small-caps. Low-float stocks get hammered down.

Then one catalyst can trigger a face-ripping squeeze.

  • OLMA up 197% in premarket.
  • CYPH up 500%+ in three months.
  • SGBX up 250%+ in one week.

These types of moves ONLY happen in the small-cap niche.

You just have to know where to look.

A Crash Would Be A Good Thing

Let the big names keep falling…

A real market crash would be perfect for my patterns.

More volatility. More short sellers. More panic.

More opportunities for low-float runners to squeeze hundreds of percent higher.

While long-term investors watch their accounts shrink, I’ll be finding setups, cutting losses quickly, and taking quick gains.

That’s the advantage of trading small-caps and micro-caps.

You’re trading individual setups that have nothing to do with the “bubble.”

What Really Matters

The next time someone tells you the sky is falling because Coinbase dropped 46% or Robinhood fell 33%:

  • Ask them if they caught OLMA spiking 197% in a morning…
  • Or if they rode CYPH from $1.50 to $9…
  • Or if they saw SGBX explode from $2 to $7 in one week…

Spoiler Alert: They didn’t.

They were too busy staring at the big names. Too focused on the indexes. Too distracted by the bubble narrative Wall Street wants them to follow.

All while the BEST opportunities live in the stocks that Wall Street completely ignores.

Cheers,

Tim
Timothyskyes.com & Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

P.S. from Addison: We’re of the view that markets are in a bubble – driven in part by the Magnificent 7 stocks and all things AI. And that is worth caring about, given how the concentration of AI stocks is driving the overall stock market – along with your 401(k) plan – higher.

That makes Tim’s view on the opportunities in smaller-cap stocks an ideal place to potentially ride out a market storm.

Tim is also absolutely right that market selloffs provide better opportunities. While we see a bubble concentrated around AI names, more defensive-oriented sectors and areas of different growth look attractive here.

While this is a holiday-shortened trading week, we’ve arranged for a unique presentation with Tim Sykes on Thursday @ 2pm EST/11am PST during Grey Swan Live! Mr. Sykes will unveil a novel trading strategy we believe you may be interested in.

Tim Sykes is one of the top traders in the game today. We’ve been working with him in one capacity or another for over a decade.

Turn Your Images On

Spoiler alert: Tim uses a proprietary indicator to identify stocks on Fridays that are poised to spike higher when markets reopen after a given weekend. As you’ll see, Tim’s unique strategy is well-suited for consideration during the holiday season.

If you have requests for new guests you’d like to see join us for Grey Swan Live!,  or have any questions for our guests, send them here.


Marin Katusa: Silver Miner Q4 Earnings Will Set Records

January 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Mining stocks amplify everything. First Majestic went from losing money to 45% margins without building anything new. They just held the line on costs while silver did the heavy lifting.

That cuts both ways. If silver drops hard, margins compress just as fast. Same leverage, opposite direction.

The miners with the lowest costs and cleanest balance sheets will hold up best in a pullback and capture the most upside if the deficit keeps grinding.

Marin Katusa: Silver Miner Q4 Earnings Will Set Records
“Dispersion Rising”

January 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Economists at Goldman Sachs said this morning they expect core inflation to finish the year around 2% even while GDP rises at a “surprisingly strong” 2.5% clip.

In our view, their inflation forecast is optimistic. Their GDP call? Modest.

The last time we pumped this much liquidity into the system — 2020 through 2022—the result was a manic asset bubble, runaway inflation, and an epic hangover at the Fed.

Goldman’s optimism has triggered a fresh round of bullish bets: cyclical stocks are rallying, “dispersion” in the S&P 500 is spiking, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates twice before Jerome Powell gets kicked out of Washington at the end of his term on May 15.

“Dispersion Rising”
The Boom Behind the Data

January 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Anecdotally, we’re hearing stories of warehouses full of GPUs sitting unused for lack of energy to power them. It’s a natural feature of the heavy capital investment in new machines. The grid has to catch up!

While Trump’s great reset rolls on in 2026, keep an eye on modular nuclear reactors and increased demand for uranium, natural gas and related resources.

The Boom Behind the Data
The Economics of Precious Metals Stocks Today

January 15, 2026 • Shad Marquitz

These PM producers are literally printing the most ‘hard money’ that they ever have at these metals prices and record margins here at the midway point in Q4.

If there ever was a time for this sector to get overheated and frothy, this would be it… only that isn’t what we’ve seen playing out.

PM producers are still insanely profitable at even at current metals prices and should be far more valuable based on their margins, revenue generating potential, and their resources still in the ground.

The Economics of Precious Metals Stocks Today