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Beneath the Surface

Are We In a Bubble?

Loading ...Tim Sykes

November 25, 2025 • 4 minute, 51 second read


AI bubble

Are We In a Bubble?

“Stock market bubbles don’t grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality are distorted by a misconception.”

— George Soros

November 25, 2025 — CNBC analysts are debating it.

Twitter threads are dissecting it.

Portfolio managers are losing sleep over it.

One question is dominating financial news right now:

“Are we in a bubble?”

The recent price action is adding fuel to the story:

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  • Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) down 35% from its highs…
  • Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD) down 33%…
  • Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) down 46%…
  • Palantir (NASDAQ: PLTR) down 25%…
  • Bitcoin (BTC) down 30%…

The talking heads are calling it:

The AI bubble is bursting.

Growth stocks are crashing.

The party’s over.

So what’s my answer?

Are we REALLY in a bubble?

I Don’t Care If We’re In A Bubble

Truthfully…I don’t care if we’re in a bubble.

While long-term investors watch their portfolios bleed, I’m doing just fine.

My trading style doesn’t rely on the direction of the major indexes.

A major market crash would actually be good for my strategy.

When the big names tank, volatility explodes.

Short sellers pile in. Fear spreads like a virus.

Which creates the EXACT conditions where small caps can go parabolic.

When blue-chip growth stocks tank, traditional traders and investors lose billions.

But for a small-cap trader looking for explosive intraday moves?

It doesn’t matter at all.

I only care about stocks that can spike 100%, 200%, or even 300% in a single session.

The types of moves these mega-caps can’t even dream of…

Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: OLMA)

OLMA exploded 197% in premarket trading on November 18.

From around $6 to over $17 in a few hours.

The catalyst? Competitor Roche announced positive Phase III trial results for a rival breast cancer drug.

The market interpreted the news as validation for the entire drug class.

OLMA went vertical.

Press release + Strong chart = The conditions for a parabolic move.

(A move you would NEVER find in mega-cap tech stocks…)

Cypherpunk Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: CYPH)

CYPH rebranded from a biotech to a digital asset treasury company on November 13.

From around $1.50 in mid-August to over $9 by mid-November.

A 500%+ move in three months.

Low float. High short interest. A crypto pivot during volatile market conditions.

While everyone panicked about Bitcoin dropping 30%, CYPH was actually the best crypto play in the market.

Safe & Green Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: SGBX)

From under $2 on November 13 to over $7 by November 20.

A 250%+ spike in one week.

The company pivoted from modular home construction to an integrated energy strategy.

It regained Nasdaq compliance. Management took compensation in stock. Retail traders piled in on the low float.

While Robinhood dropped 33% from its highs and Coinbase fell 46%…
SGBX tripled.*

What Most Traders Are Missing

The people worrying about the AI bubble are stuck in an outdated mindset.

Buy blue chips. Hold for years. Hope the indexes go up.

That strategy requires everything to cooperate.

And it takes forever to make meaningful gains.

Compare that to trading small-caps.

When the market tanks, short sellers flood into small-caps. Low-float stocks get hammered down.

Then one catalyst can trigger a face-ripping squeeze.

  • OLMA up 197% in premarket.
  • CYPH up 500%+ in three months.
  • SGBX up 250%+ in one week.

These types of moves ONLY happen in the small-cap niche.

You just have to know where to look.

A Crash Would Be A Good Thing

Let the big names keep falling…

A real market crash would be perfect for my patterns.

More volatility. More short sellers. More panic.

More opportunities for low-float runners to squeeze hundreds of percent higher.

While long-term investors watch their accounts shrink, I’ll be finding setups, cutting losses quickly, and taking quick gains.

That’s the advantage of trading small-caps and micro-caps.

You’re trading individual setups that have nothing to do with the “bubble.”

What Really Matters

The next time someone tells you the sky is falling because Coinbase dropped 46% or Robinhood fell 33%:

  • Ask them if they caught OLMA spiking 197% in a morning…
  • Or if they rode CYPH from $1.50 to $9…
  • Or if they saw SGBX explode from $2 to $7 in one week…

Spoiler Alert: They didn’t.

They were too busy staring at the big names. Too focused on the indexes. Too distracted by the bubble narrative Wall Street wants them to follow.

All while the BEST opportunities live in the stocks that Wall Street completely ignores.

Cheers,

Tim
Timothyskyes.com & Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

P.S. from Addison: We’re of the view that markets are in a bubble – driven in part by the Magnificent 7 stocks and all things AI. And that is worth caring about, given how the concentration of AI stocks is driving the overall stock market – along with your 401(k) plan – higher.

That makes Tim’s view on the opportunities in smaller-cap stocks an ideal place to potentially ride out a market storm.

Tim is also absolutely right that market selloffs provide better opportunities. While we see a bubble concentrated around AI names, more defensive-oriented sectors and areas of different growth look attractive here.

While this is a holiday-shortened trading week, we’ve arranged for a unique presentation with Tim Sykes on Thursday @ 2pm EST/11am PST during Grey Swan Live! Mr. Sykes will unveil a novel trading strategy we believe you may be interested in.

Tim Sykes is one of the top traders in the game today. We’ve been working with him in one capacity or another for over a decade.

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Spoiler alert: Tim uses a proprietary indicator to identify stocks on Fridays that are poised to spike higher when markets reopen after a given weekend. As you’ll see, Tim’s unique strategy is well-suited for consideration during the holiday season.

If you have requests for new guests you’d like to see join us for Grey Swan Live!,  or have any questions for our guests, send them here.


Frank Holmes: What Gold Reveals About America’s Affordability Crisis

December 15, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

A generation ago, a single income could support a family, buy a house and pay for a vehicle or two in the driveway.

Today, even two high earners are struggling to purchase a new home.

According to a recent report from Bankrate, a household earning $80,000 a year is now priced out of 75% of all new homes on the market. A family now needs to earn at least $113,000, and in some major metros, it’s closer to $200,000.

Meanwhile, the homeownership rate has slipped to a six-year low, with further declines expected next year. Families are being squeezed from every angle.

The point I want to make here is that the so-called affordability crisis isn’t just about the cost of homes or other assets. It’s about the cost of money.

Frank Holmes: What Gold Reveals About America’s Affordability Crisis
The Long-Term Cost of Denial

December 15, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

In just the first two months of Fiscal Year 2026, the deficit already totals $458 billion — the second-largest start on record.

More troubling still, the net interest expense hit $179 billion, outrunning Medicare, defense, and healthcare. At this pace, interest will again be the fastest-growing line item in the federal budget.

The Long-Term Cost of Denial
Cisco Hits An All-Time High

December 15, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

At the absolute peak of the dot-com boom — routers stacked to the ceiling and PowerPoint masquerading as profits — Cisco’s market capitalization topped out at roughly 4.4% of U.S. GDP.

Nvidia today? Roughly 16% of U.S. GDP.

That’s not a rounding error.

Measured against the size of the economy, Nvidia is in a category Cisco never visited. Which means that any serious disappointment in the AI build-out would scale 2000–01 – geometrically.

Cisco Hits An All-Time High
From Permission to Possession

December 12, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

America has consistently reinvented itself in times of crisis. The founders survived monarchy. Lincoln survived disunion. We’ve survived bank panics, oil shocks, stagflation, and disco. We’ll survive deplatforming, too.

The Second American Revolution won’t be fought with muskets or manifestos. It won’t be fought with petty violence and street demonstrations. It will be written into code. And available to those who wish to take advantage of it.

Russell Kirk called the first American Revolution “a revolution not made, but prevented.” The second will be the same. We’re not tearing down the house — we’re going to rewire it in code.

The result may not be utopia. But it will be freedom you can bank on.

From Permission to Possession