From the creators of The Daily Reckoning, I.O.U.S.A, Empire of Debt and The Daily Missive
















From the creators of The Daily Reckoning, I.O.U.S.A, Empire of Debt and The Daily Missive
October 3, 2025 • Addison Wiggin
Back in the Global Financial Crisis (2008), we recall mass layoffs were driving desperation.
Today, unemployment is relatively low, if climbing.
Affordability is much more of an issue. Food, rent, healthcare, and childcare are all rising faster than wages. Households aren’t jobless; they’re stretched. Job “quits” are at crisis-level lows.
In addition to the top 10% of earners, consumer spending is still strong. Not necessarily because of prosperity, but because households are taking extra shifts, hustling gigs, working late into the night, and using credit cards. The trends hold up demand but hollow out savings.
It’s the quiet form of financial repression. In an era of fiscal dominance, savers see easy returns clipped, workers stretch hours just to stay even, and wealth slips upward into assets while daily life grows harder to afford.
October 2, 2025 • Addison Wiggin
October 1, 2025 • Addison Wiggin
October 3, 2025 • Addison Wiggin
The launch of ChatGPT in October 2022 ended the pandemic-era bear market in stocks. The AI story has been the predominant narrative for three years now. The indexes on Wall Street are at historic highs, surpassing 2000, 1968, 1929… the last three tech-inspired bubbles.
But ChatGPT did something else. It brought the idea of “productivity gains” back into the economic conversation.
October 2, 2025 • Addison Wiggin
October 1, 2025 • Addison Wiggin
October 3, 2025 • Ian King
Last month, Nasdaq asked the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for approval to let tokenized stocks and ETFs trade on its main exchange.
If approved, these digital shares would sit side-by-side with traditional equities. Meaning, they would fall under the same U.S. securities laws that govern $50 trillion in annual equity trades.
And this rollout could begin as early as 2026, once the Depository Trust Company — the clearinghouse that settles every U.S. stock trade — updates its systems to handle digital tokens.
If it happens, this won’t be a small tweak to the machinery of finance. It’ll represent the first major step toward moving Wall Street onto blockchain infrastructure.
And we don’t have to imagine what it might look like…
Because it’s already happening.
October 2, 2025 • Mark Jeftovic
Stablecoins have proceeded rapidly from being a grey zone through which capital would traverse as it moved into or out of the crypto-economy, to becoming an extension, if not a nascent pillar, of the fiat money system itself.
Coinbase Head of Institutional Research David Duong sees the market cap for stables hitting $1/2 trillion by 2028 (which would be somewhere between a 4X and 5X from where we are now).
Demetri Kofinas recently interviewed Charles Calomiris, former Chief Economist at the US Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, and it was eye-opening to hear someone of his stature speak so matter-of-factly about how the structure of the banking system is evolving in realtime.
October 1, 2025 • Mark Jeftovic
We’ve been saying for a long time that when it came time to rev up the money printer again, the Fed would do it under some other rubric than “Quantitative Easing” (QE), because by now, everybody knows what that is. YCC? Not so much.
What it means is that the Fed will buy unlimited bonds out at the long end of the yield curve in order to keep yields under some arbitrary line in the sand.
September 30, 2025 • Addison Wiggin
Like me, you can make the choice to put your technological talents to work for the mission of protecting your country.
You are your country’s finest engineers, technologists, and researchers. There is no secret arsenal. There is nobody else. It’s just you. So answer the call. Dare to build. And never yield in the defense of your country and its freedoms.
September 30, 2025 • Addison Wiggin
Today’s market news is relatively simple. Premium butter is noise. Gold’s surge is a signal. History offers the rhyme: in the 1930s, Roosevelt revalued gold higher to recapitalize the system. Investors are now front-running the possibility of similar moves.
September 30, 2025 • Addison Wiggin
As is our forecast for a terrifying bull market. Gold is just one asset of many rising during the Trump era grand realignment of the geopolitical and global monetary systems.
We’ll concede to gold’s critics that it’s an inert metal that just sits there, generating no income. But, as such, it’s also the perfect barometer for the health of the fiat monetary system.
Judging by gold’s massive rally the past few years – and the fact that it’s outperformed the S&P 500 century-to-date, sometimes being in the right place and doing nothing is the right move.
September 29, 2025 • James Hickman
Irresponsible, runaway spending combined with an ever-expanding regulatory state that strangles the private economy, is an unprecedented challenge.
Unlike the nation’s deep ideological divide whose cycle has repeated over and over again throughout the last 250 years, America is in uncharted and dangerous territory when it comes to its $37+ trillion national debt.
The culture war and ideological divide will eventually heal. The economic challenge, on the other hand, will take serious work, tough decisions, and difficult sacrifices.
Sadly, none of that seems to be in the cards right now. And that’s setting the country up for some serious consequences down the road.
September 29, 2025 • Addison Wiggin
Like dotcoms of old, the AI boom is encouraging new tech to gorge on debt.
Corporate bond sales surged to records in September: $190 billion in investment-grade, $43 billion in junk. Oracle led with a $26 billion issue, its debt-to-equity soaring above 500%.
Tech firms overall have raised $157 billion year-to-date, up 70% from last year. Investors hungry for yield are funding it all.
How much leverage is too much? That’s a question investors seem to feel comfortable asking every 10 years or so. History shows manias often look strongest just before they stumble.
September 29, 2025 • Addison Wiggin
Chipmaker Nvidia is up over 500% in the past five years. Its market cap, closing in on $5 trillion, boggles the mind. That’s just one reason why it reminds one of Cisco during the dotcom bubble.
Yet, shares trade at 50 times earnings — pricey even for a growth stock — but nowhere near the 500 times earnings of Palantir.
In 2020, you could have bought shares of Nvidia at 50 times earnings. And in 2025. The fact of the matter is, Nvidia’s valuation has held fairly steady – with its share price soaring as its earnings soar.
September 26, 2025 • Bill Bonner
The gold standard came into being in the 18th century. It got gassed in WWI. Then, after WWII, it was re-established, sort of. The dollar was made the key financial reserve. And the dollar was linked to gold.
Then, in 1971, the last link with gold was cut. Since then, several efforts were made to re-install some sort of guardrails. In the ‘70s, we were personally part of the drive for a Constitutional Amendment that would make deficits illegal. In the ‘80s, our friend Grover Norquist succeeded in getting prospective members of Congress to sign The Pledge, crossing their hearts and hoping to die if they increased taxes